Awards are stupid. Just last night I was ranting about how figure skating isn’t a sport because you can’t apply numeric grades to something that is subjective. A race has a winner, hockey has a winner. Ice skating, dance, art, etc, it is stupid to give awards. Yet we do it anyway. And since the big momma of all stupid awards events is coming up, here is my $0.02 on the main races. I didn’t see enough of the docs or foreign pics selected to include them.
Best Picture
What will win: Brokeback Mountain
What should win (nominated): Good Night And Good Luck
What should win (universally): Head-On
Best Male Actor
Who will win: Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Who should win (nominated): Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Who should win (universally): Philip Seymour Hoffman, Capote
Best Female Actor
Who will win: Reese Witherspoon, Walk The Line
Who should win (nominated): Reese Witherspoon, Walk The Line
Who should win (universally): TIE: Sibel Kekilli, Head-On AND Q’Orianka Kilcher, The New World
Best Supporting Male Actor
Who will win: George Clooney, Syriana
Who should win (nominated): William Hurt, A History of Violence
Who should win (universally): Jean-Pierre Bacri, Look At Me
Best Supporting Female Actor
Who will win: Michelle Williams, Brokeback Mountain
Who should win (nominated): Amy Adams, Junebug
Who should win (universally): Amy Adams, Junebug
Best Director
Who will win: Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Who should win (nominated): Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Who should win (universally): Ang Lee, Brokeback Mountain
Best Screenwriter(s), Original Material
Who will win: Paul Haggis and Bobby Moresco, Crash
Who should win (nominated): TIE: George Clooney and Grant Heslov, Good Night and Good Luck AND Woody Allen, Match Point
Who should win (universally): TIE: George Clooney and Grant Heslov, Good Night and Good Luck AND Woody Allen, Match Point
Best Screenwriter(s), Prior Source
Who will win: Larry McMurtry and Diana Ossana, Brokeback Mountain
Who should win (nominated): Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, Munich
Who should win (universally): Tony Kushner and Eric Roth, Munich
I think Matt Dillon is going to win Best Supporting Actor. Because I think Crash, rightfully, is going to get shut out in all the other categories. (I’m sorry … there are still a few sane people left in Hollywood … enough to not let this guy get a screenwriting award for that bizarre fable … much less best director or picture.) But Dillon is long overdue for some type of recognition, and this could well be his only chance.
And hats off to him! I don’t think he’s much of an actor, but he’s had a knack for getting himself in some damn good indie movies and comedies along the way. Although, buddy, he hit the jackpot with his first movie, Over the Edge — much like Keanu Reeves was born to do Bill & Ted’s Excellent Adventure, and it’s all been a ruse since.